Heron will be staying on the dock today, Monday Nov 7. We are delaying our planned departure from Hampton to St. John. The low sitting on our rhumb line (RL) is being watched to see if will "go tropical". Last night the NHC put a 20% probability on it. Not good. This morning they put a 30% prob. on it --a "moderate" liklihood. Even less good. They are now seeing some thunderstorm development in it. The GFC model looks fine. But it isn't prudent to head into that kind of risk, to encounter a possible TD or TS three days out to sea.
The C1500 has just this morning delayed their start until Wednesday noon. Some of the Salty Dogs are waiting. Some of them are already out there.
The forecasters are saying that we "certainly do not recommend leaving today given the uncertainty of the low becoming tropical. There is much more to report what we've heard that would mitigate concern: it would only have some tropical characteristics, it would take a few days to develop, it wouldn't be very severe (maybe 30-40 kn).
Meanwhile, we'll do laundry, visit the Maritime Museum and calm down.
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